Michael Ruse (1999) points out
that William Whewell believed the best kind of science seeks a consilience
of inductions
in which inductions
from different areas of science are explained by the same set of principles
(p. 58). The idea of consilience also applies to converging lines of
evidence,
as when investigations in different areas of science dovetail to produce
mutually reinforcing results. In the words of Whewell, "The Consilience
of Inductions takes place when an Induction, obtained from one class of
facts, coincides with an Induction, obtained from another different class.
This Consilience is a test of the truth of the Theory in which it occurs" (p.
139). Major discoveries in physics, biology, geology, chemistry, and paleontology
have served as converging lines of evidence in support of Darwin’s
theory of evolution by natural selection. Mendel’s laws of inheritance,
radiometric dating, plate tectonic theory, and new fossil discoveries,
just to name a few, have served as a consilience of inductions in support
of Darwin’s theory.
The concept of testability is critical in our understanding of how hypotheses
become accepted as scientific knowledge. Placing the highest value on ideas
that are testable against the empirical world has consequences for knowledge
gained through authority and for supernatural explanations.
Authority is the most common way
to access knowledge. Leaders, experts, friends, books, visual and written
media
provide us
with knowledge. There
is a great comfort and familiarity with this epistemic method. The belief
of an authority often determines the knowledge we value. This is where
adding knowledge to science is very different. It is not enough for an
authority to make a claim even if it is rational. An authoritative claim
must be open to testing. Culture, language, or religion provide no special
status for those who take on the role of independent checker. A person’s
or a group’s beliefs have no purchasing power in science; only
rational argument combined with evidence can finally justify a scientific
theory.
The scientific community is worldwide. Working scientists represent diverse
cultural and religious backgrounds; however, as scientists they are constrained
by empirical evidence. If gathering knowledge were a card game, empiricism
would trump all others.
The supernatural is by definition above or beyond natural law. Supernatural
hypotheses cannot be independently and reliably verified using empirical
methods. On the other hand, the methodological naturalism used by science
has often produced repeatable naturalistic explanations for phenomena that
were once viewed as having supernatural causes such as weather and human
illness. These naturalistic explanations have enjoyed great predictive
success. Requiring that ideas in science be testable against the empirical
world, testable by no one in particular, has made the knowledge gained
by science public. Claims of secret knowledge or powers must be open to
independent empirical testing. If these claims are not open to such investigations,
they have no hope for being included in the body of knowledge we call science.
The process of putting forth positive
evidence that can be tested by the scientific community plays out in
scientific journals.
This empirically
driven, peer review process cultivates creativity, curiosity, skepticism,
and ensures that no one can have the final say. The ideas of which science
is most sure are ones that have withstood numerous independent empirical
verifications. There is an important distinction between what scientists
can claim in a scientific journal and what they can profess within popular
venues such as the media or books. Like any citizen, a scientist can
put forth logical or illogical speculation (ideas that cannot be presently
tested) within these popular venues. It is important for scientists to
be creative and speculate freely. In the end, however, it is an empirically
based decentralized checking process that determines whether or not these
ideas make useful and dependable predictions, a process that occurs in
the world of scientific journals. Jerry Coyne rightly observes, “The
gold standard for modern scientific achievement is the publication of new
results in a peer-reviewed scientific journal” (p. 32).
Conclusions are Tentative
If no one can have the final say
then putative truths handed down by authority cannot flourish. Stephen
J.
Gould (1941-2002)
maintained that the very
essence of science is to be a method devised to undermine proof by authority
(Gould, p. 31). Scientific ideas must always be open to review in the
light of new evidence. According to Jonathan Rauch, ". . . we must all take
seriously the idea that any and all of us might, at any time, be wrong.
Taking seriously the idea that we might be wrong is not exactly a dogma.
It is, rather, an intellectual style, an attitude or ethic" (p. 45).
The tentative nature of science embraces pragmatism because it emphasizes
the mutating, growing nature of the human intellectual enterprise. The
American psychologist/philosopher William James (1842-1910) asked rhetorically, "What
has concluded, that we might conclude in regard to it?" (p. 190).
In science there are always new instruments, methods, and truths. Science
is an open-ended process and there is no final once-and-for-all conclusion.
Hypotheses, Theories, and Laws are Falsifiable
The British philosopher Karl Popper
(1902-1994) proposed that scientific hypotheses, theories, and laws
are falsifiable;
they
have a test for
wrongness (Popper, pp 40-44). Philip Kitcher states this same idea more
succinctly, "Science
can succeed only if it can fail" (p. 45). It is important to understand
that ideas that seem to falsify a well-confirmed hypothesis are rightly
met with skepticism. For example, in the early nineteenth century unexplained
perturbations were observed in the orbit of Uranus. One possibility was
that Isaac Newton's (1642-1726) law was failing at great distances. Another
possibility, however, was that an unknown object was influencing the motion
of Uranus. The perturbations in the orbit of Uranus were used as a basis
for calculating the size and the position of an object that might cause
such fluctuations. In this way, astronomers hoped to save Newton’s
law while at the same time explaining the fluctuations in Uranus’s
orbit. This is a good example of the introduction of an auxiliary hypothesis.
The auxiliary hypothesis was that another object, as yet undiscovered,
was influencing the orbit of Uranus. As a consequence of this auxiliary
hypothesis, the planet Neptune was discovered. This auxiliary hypothesis
could be tested in a way that was independent of the idea it was designed
to save, a visual verification in this case. Auxiliary hypotheses that
have an independent test can be useful and productive. Auxiliary hypotheses
that do not have a test independent of the idea they are designed to
save are termed ad hoc.
A different example of apparent falsification of a theory is that Newton's
law of gravity could not fully account for the precession in Mercury's
orbit about the Sun. This did not mean, however, that Newton's law was
abandoned. Scientists value what works, so there is great inertia in giving
up an idea that has proven useful and dependable. Albert Einstein's (1879-1955)
general theory of relativity does fully account for the precessions observed
in Mercury's orbit. Thus, Newton's law of gravity was shown to be a low-mass
approximation of general relativity.
The final claim to objectivity in science is that it is a collective
enterprise where any individual's views are subject to criticism by others
(Popper, p. 44). Scientific methodologies are powerful because of their
empirical ruthlessness. There is freedom of belief and speech in science,
but not freedom of knowledge. One may, if one so chooses, believe that
the Earth is at the center of our planetary system, that the entire fossil
record was created from one great worldwide flood, or that gaps in human
knowledge about the natural world are evidence of the supernatural. If,
however, you want your beliefs recognized as scientific knowledge you
must be open to empirical tests. If your beliefs do not stand up to the
empirical evidence, they will not be included in scientific texts. Indeed
the intellectual community may not even take them seriously (cf. Rauch,
pp. 116-117).
The methodological naturalism
of science is often misunderstood and sometimes legally challenged
by those who
would like to wedge supernatural
explanations
and putative authoritative claims into science textbooks. The body of
knowledge associated with science that so many admire is next to meaningless
without
the methodologies that shape and temper them. Fortunately, many philosophers,
scientists, citizens, and theologians representing diverse religions
have testified in behalf of science as a process. The decision handed down
by
Judge John E. Jones the III in the Dover; Pennsylvania ID case sums up
our discussion well. Citing trial testimony from well-known philosophers
of science, Jones wrote, “Methodological naturalism is a ‘ground
rule’ of science today which requires scientists to seek explanations
in the world around us based upon what we can observe, test, replicate,
and verify” (p. 65).
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